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UPDATED 9TH NOVEMBER 2007 Few weeks before when oil start rising we predicted that no need for panic and the oil will maintain a position between 70-76$/barrel. we were proved to be wrong. But not us . Just last months their was not much anxiety all around the world. but now what it looks the world is again heading towards an energy crisis similar to 1970. So far the surge in markets always pointed to OPEC which was blamed for throttling the production valves to regulate the market. short term crisis were related to speculations of war and political disturbances in shipping lanes transporting the fuel. Now the situation is different. OPEC is helpful more than ever to pump maximum oil it can deliver but the demand is growing steadily. One reason is the change of life style which came with the increase of net income in Asian countries due to economic growth tempting them to spend on luxury transportation and electronic goods. But the major source is the rising economic growth of China and India as well as other emerging markets which need more fossil fuels to keep their industries running. The future out look therefore is worst than expected. Their is panic all over the world to explore renewable energy resources but due to high demand of machinery the delivery time is quite long. Pakistan is caught up between a crisis. On one hand it wants to catch the growth rate at par with the region and another hand it has already facing the acute shortage of energy. Their are many reasons for slow growth in energy sector. But one simple reason is that many departments are responsible for energy management in Government. Their is Water and Power Ministry, Oil and Gas Ministry, OGRA, AEDB, NEPRA, PPIB, WAPDA, NTDC, SHYDO and many more. To streamline the system this is suggested that one unified energy ministry to be made responsible for all energy issues and different desks are made in one roof for developers and end users. for developers paper work to be made simple. The investors should be offered up front tariff and can only appeal if their real cost is enhanced by some reason. Presently before the construction starts investors have to go for lengthy processes . The government should invest substantial amount for wind and solar energy and once the projects are matured then can privitize. UPDATED ON 3RD NOVEMBER 2007 ECC on Wednesday approved 5.89 cents as an up front tariff for hydel projects. This is a revolutionary step taken by Pakistan Government to promote and encourage the investors in Hydel Sector. In fact this is the most logical and wise step adopted by the government for energy sector. this will encourage investors to come forward in hydel sector. The Pakistan is blessed with high mountains covered by glaciers and the rivers flowing across the country. PPIB so far processed 19 hydel power projects to produce 4900 MW energy. Now we request honorable Minister to further persuade all government agencies to facilitate that these projects can be commissioned earlier than scheduled time. For this purpose all red tapes to be removed as far as possible. We learnt from reliable sources that Asrit-Kedam 209 MW power project is moving with record speed and the sponsors Yunus Brothers are highly committed to complete the project by 2011 instead of scheduled time 2014. RSWI the consultants are confident that the project is very promising and can be completed ahead of schedule October was a month to be remembered when world oil prices shot up at record level and at the end of the month it was staying at 94$ level. it was almost certain that OGRA will allow the price hike for petrol and diesel from 1st November. However a cabinet meeting in the chairman ship of Prime Minister Shaukat aziz overruled this decision and kept the prices same. However furnace prices were raised all time high by Rs 4210 /ton for domestic market. The price now stands on 34000 Rs./ton. This price hike can be justified in the light of rising crude oil prices but for domestic market the fuel tariffs now are not so realistic. The diesel and furnace prices are now standing at almost same level. A little intelligent power house manager can start using diesel instead of furnace which is much more clean and easy to burn or even can mix the diesel with furnace lowering its viscosity and ,make it more comfortable to burn. Those diesel gensets which were running as stand bye generators and are less efficient will be more attractive for end users and the furnace power plants will be shut down. For those IPP which run their plants on furnace this increase will be shifted to utility company which is purchasing the power and hence to WAPDA, which is already deep in trouble. Mean time power shortage in whole country remained forcing the utility companies for load shedding. Mr,. Liaqut Jatoi Minister for water and power called a press conference and expressed his views. He acknowledged the shortage of 1500 MW which will continue in next summer also. He told reporters that 13 memorandum of understanding has been signed to overcome the shortfall of 1500 MW power with foreign investors and an investment of 200 billion $ will be made in power sector. He also told that government is allocated 140 billion RS for the development of power sector including Bhasha Dam. He also told that 100 MW electricity will be imported from Iran Presently we have three different critical problems in energy sectors which all need immediate attention
The projects in pipe line will start commissioning from 2014 . All planning of hydro and alternate energy is for next five years. so biggest question now is what to do for the current situation. This is itself a promising news that in spite political uncertainty honorable minister find an opportunity to address the energy sector. In our opinion situation now is so critical that it needs a diversified approach. we have to look for all options of existing as well as alternate energy resources. As earlier been written our existing machines are less efficient. the end users should be persuaded to replace with more efficient machines. We have to discourage use of larger cars and should develop mass transit systems in mega cities to avoid use of one car/person
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Wartsila exploring European market for Bio-mass plants Pakistan Iran agree on gas pipe line project Asian Development Bank Considering 250 Million $ loan for small hydro projects in Pakistan Pakistan Coal reserves should be explored MAN launches first four stroke common rail engine
ECNEC APPROVES ENERGY PROJECTS
TECHNICAL PAPERS Prospect of renewable energy in Pakistan The Hijra Calendar&sighting moon Our food according to our faith Effect of rising oil prices on Pakistan Coal fired power plant feasibility Report Feasibility Report for Urea Plant Power Generation on Solar Energy Power Plants operation on Furnace oil Osmotic Power Plants being built ENERGY BLOG Human being is the only creation of Almighty Allah who was endowed almost all types of Kinetic & Potential Energies. By Mr. N.A.KHAN Write to Mr. Khan l nasirkhan54@gmail.com
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